US Non-Farm Payrolls And Free Forex Training
Posted in Free Forex Training on October 20th, 2010 by adminMost people who get involved with free forex training that don’t understand the significance of the US Non-Farm Payroll report to the global financial markets . Many people ask me , " why does the US jobs number each month make the market jump up and down so much after it is released ?" To provide an answer to the question we must realize at what the US jobs number actually represents. Then we will have our insights as to why it makes the markets move like nothing else .
The US Non-Farm payroll report is released on the first Friday of every new month . It is released by the US Bureau of Labor and Statistics or (BLS) and what it quantitatively measures , is the number of brand new jobs, excluding farming, created by the economy in the US the previous month. This announcement is so important because the health of the US and global economy are both reflected . After all , in the world, the US economy happens to be the largest and within the US the main component happens to be consumer spending; actually making up 70%! So , in free forex training, because the weakness or strength of a currency in a country is mainly affected by the interest rates in the country , you need to take a look at what actually drives those rates ; or the US Federal Reserve policy on interest rates. Probably the most important data for the Fed to use is this job report to set short term interest rates and because of this, this report can and usually does , lead to quite a bit of volatility in various markets .
Why does the jobs report have anything to do with where the Federal Reserve sets short term interest rates ? Great question ! If you have a strong jobs report usually it means that people have employment and the utilization of resources is high . This also means that companies are employing workers and the consumers, or workers, are then spending money by shopping, dining out, or on clothing, and all of these things drive the economy ; they help to heat or grow the economy. When the economy is growing, this means that there is more money circulating and keeping inflation in check is very important for the Federal Reserve. The way they keep inflation in check is that they raise short term rates to lower inflation and cool down the economy , or they lower short term rates to raise inflation and heat up the economy . So it’s easy to see, so the job number is a huge factor , driving all this right under the surface.
When you’re getting ready for your free forex training day or week ahead , take a look at the fundamental information on the events calendar that will be released in the next day or week . If you are still in the month’s first week then on the Friday of that first week you’ll have the Non-Farm Payroll report coming out since that’s always when it’s released . If you’re looking to take advantage of the volatility that comes after the release of the jobs report , simply keep the following formula in mind : A stronger economy usually is going on if the numbers of jobs are stronger than expected which means higher short term interest rates that lead to currency strength . Conversely , if there is a weaker than expected jobs report then this usually means lower short term interest rates that lead to currency weakness . Of course it’s not always this cut and dry or black and white , but this knowledge can give you a bit of an advantage over your competitors who are trading alongside you.
